North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 10 June 2005
Disease location(s):
Extreme Southern Mexico (Chiapas State)
Trajectory Start: Tapachula, Mexico
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Friday, June 10 - Extreme southern Mexico: Persistent tropical convection is predicted be lighter than normal Friday and Saturday cover the Yucatan and Southern Mexico regions. It should return to normal coverage and intensity by Sunday.
Trajectory weather:Mixed cloud cover with rain and thunderstorms possible later in the afternoon. High of 34Cand a low of 24C.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat ***
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The constant threat of clouds, rain, and thunderstorms creates a persistent and favorable environment for disease development. However, the strength of the source is suspect and there is a good chance for the sun to peak through the clouds for brief periods. Moderate risk near the source area. Low Risk otherwise.
