Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

10 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 10 June 2005
Disease location(s): Western Cuba
Trajectory Start: Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Friday, June 10 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: Tropical Storm Arlene will bring significant rain to western Cuba and over the eastern Gulf through the weekend.

Trajectory weather: Rainy and windy with a high in the 80s and a low in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories through the weekend all carry out into the Gulf and experience washout. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Strongly Moderate Risk to susceptible crops in extreme western Cuba. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere.

06/10/2005 Pinar del Rio Forecast Trajectory

<October 13>
SMTWTFS
12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031