North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast
Date Issued: 10 June 2005
Disease location(s):
Western Cuba
Trajectory Start:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Forecaster: MM
Regional weather: Friday, June 10 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: Tropical Storm Arlene will bring significant rain to western Cuba and over the eastern Gulf through the weekend.
Trajectory weather: Rainy and windy with a high in the 80s and a low in the 70s.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories through the weekend all carry out into the Gulf and experience washout. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Strongly Moderate Risk to susceptible crops in extreme western Cuba. Low Risk to US production areas. Low Risk elsewhere.
