Regional weather: Wednesday, June 8 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: A developing tropical low pressure system is developing in the western Caribbean. It is expected to slowly move north and bring heavy rain to the eastern Gulf and Cuba.

Trajectory weather: Overcast with rain and a high in the 80s and a low in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: The trajectories Wednesday and Thursday travel westward and then wrap up in the developing tropical low. Conditions for successful transport of live spores are present, but washout is expected over the Yucatan channel and the western Caribbean. Additionally, it is past the Cuban growing season and the source is suspected to be weak. Weakly Moderate Risk to near the Pinar del Rio source Wednesday and Thursday. Low Risk otherwise.