Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

6 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 6 June 2005
Disease location(s): Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Monday, June 6 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: Moisture is still being carried into the Southern Plains from the Gulf of Mexico creating morning clouds. Other than this, skies across the Southern Plains are expected to be clear and dry barring the chance for severe weather in the afternoons. Due to strong inhibiting factors, the chance for thunderstorms is expected to remain low around the 20% mark.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny and warm Monday and Tuesday with highs in 90s and lows in the 70s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

We have no reports of blue mold from southern Texas. We are monitoring trajectories from this region in case any potentially threatening transport episodes arise.

Monday and Tuesday : Widespread spore death is expected due to solar exposure for the Monday and Tuesday transport events. Low Risk to production areas for the Monday and Tuesday transport events .

06/06/2005 Uvalde Forecast Trajectory

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