Regional weather: Friday, June 3 - Eastern Gulf of Mexico / southeast U.S.: A tropical disturbance in the Gulf will bring significant rain to western Cuba and over the eastern Gulf through the weekend.

Trajectory weather: Rainy with a high in the upper 80s and a low in the upper 70s.

Trajectory confidence: Moderate - The ETA and the GFS disagree on the building of high pressure in the Gulf and the potential for the tropical development of a disturbance off the western tip of Cuba

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday: The trajectories through the weekend all carry out into the Gulf and experience washout. The forecast trajectories do not pose any threat to U.S. tobacco production areas. Strongly Moderate Risk to susceptible crops in extreme western Cuba. Low Risk to US production areas.