Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

1 June 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 1 June 2005
Disease location(s): Extreme Southern Mexico (Chiapas State)
Trajectory Start: Tapachula, Mexico
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Wednesday, June 1 - Extreme southern Mexico: Persistent tropical convection is predicted to cover the Yucatan and Southern Mexico regions through Wednesday and Thursday.

Trajectory weather:Overcast with rain and thunderstorms possible later in the afternoon. High of 36C and a low of 24C.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** High Threat ***

Wednesday and Thursday: The constant threat of clouds, rain, and thunderstorms creates a persistent and favorable environment for disease development. However, the strength of the source is suspect and there is a chance for the sun to peak through the clouds for brief periods. Strongly Moderate risk near the source area. Low Risk otherwise.

06/01/2005 Tapachula Forecast Trajectory

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