Cucurbit Tobacco Soybean

23 May 2005

North Carolina State University
Blue Mold Forecast


Date Issued: 23 May 2005
Disease location(s): Unknown
Trajectory Start: Uvalde, Texas
Forecaster: MM

Regional weather: Monday, May 23 - Central and Southern Texas, U.S.: Thunderstorms and widespread rain will sweep across the central US early this week. Southern Texas is expected to stay warm and dry thanks to the influence of high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny and warm Monday and Tuesday with highs in 90s and lows in the upper 60s.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat ***

We have no reports of blue mold from southern Texas. We are monitoring trajectories from this region in case any potentially threatening transport episodes arise.

Monday and Tuesday: Widespread spore death is expected due to solar exposure for the Monday and Tuesday transport events. Low Risk to production areas for the Monday and Tuesday transport events .

05/23/2005 Uvalde Forecast Trajectory

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