FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, May 21:
Friday through Sunday: All sources are Low Threats, with Low Risk to the U.S. productions regions. Trajectories from the known sources do not approach other growing areas. High pressure still holds sway over the southern U.S. On Saturday and Sunday, the trajectories from southern TX move more to the northeast than they have in recent days... but the forecast pathways still remain well to the west and north of the Ohio Valley growing regions. In addition, it would 2 days of travel, under mixed conditions for survivable transport, for any airborne spores to reach the Ohio Valley. This is unlikely. Finally, only a 20% to 30% chance of showers is forecast once the spores would get there, and as stated previously, this would not be the main concentration of airborne spores. Clearly, a Low Risk forecast. Trajectories from western Cuba move west each day this weekend.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None
Current Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Southern Texas
Previous Sources:
None
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.