Forecast Notes - Monday, May 10 - Forecasts for Monday, May 10 and Wednesday, May 12 will be in an abbreviated format. The forecast staff is involved in a workshop for the next several days. We will produce only forecast summaries on these dates. Transport events will be monitored as usual, however, and we will include any significant events in the forecasts.
FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, May 10:
Monday and Tuesday: All sources are Low Threats, with Low Risk to the U.S. productions regions. Trajectories from the known sources do not approach other growing areas. A summer-like weather pattern will be in control over the eastern U.S. for most of the upcoming week. A strong Bermuda High is centered off the eastern seaboard. The Southeast and lower mid-Atlantic regions will be sunny to partly cloudy and mostly dry. To the west, farther away from center of the High, there will be a chance of mainly afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms. This will be true for the Gulf Coast states .... northward into the Mississippi and Ohio River valleys... and the Appalachian mountains. The position of the Bermuda High and the circulation around it serve to push trajectories from Cuba to the west or northwest. Trajectories from southern Texas will be moving north. This general situation will persist for a number of days. There may be some variation in the transport events coming out of Texas by midweek, but I expect the trajectories out of Cuba to continue to move west or northwest until the Bermuda High weakens significantly.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None
Current Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Southern Texas
Previous Sources:
None
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.