9 April 2004 Blue Mold Forecasts

 

FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, April 9:

Eastern Gulf of Mexico: Fair and dry weather Friday and Saturday will be followed by unsettled weather from Sunday into early next week, as a strong storm system develops in the west and moves into the southeast U.S.. Transport events on Saturday and Sunday may bring the threat of disease development to the United States. Saturday's trajectory from western Cuba moves through northern FL and southern GA after 36 hours, while Sunday's trajectory cross north-central FL after 24 hours. In both cases.... it appears at this time that any airborne spores will be killed by solar exposure near the source, meaning Low Risk for northern FL or southern GA. However, a good bit of uncertainty remains in the forecast, especially for Sunday. We will monitor these situations closely and post an updated forecast this weekend.

Other Areas: All other sources are Low Threats from Friday through Sunday.

TK

Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

None

 

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 Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.