9 May 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts

Forecast Notes - 5 May:

It will be necessary for your Forecaster to be out of the office quite a bit during the next two weeks. We will continue to have regular forecasts (barring unforeseen circumstances), although they may not adhere to our normal schedule of Monday - Wednesday - Friday. We will make every effort to forecast for as many days as possible. The format we have been using for much of this spring will be retained for the foreseeable future (detailed forecasts for the U.S. source and other significant events, trajectory-only otherwise). TK


FORECAST SUMMARY:
Friday, May 9:

***** Unfavorable conditions for disease development are expected near the source area in the Southeast this weekend ***** Hot and mostly dry weather will prevail across the region Friday and Saturday. A cold front will move into the Southeast late on Sunday. Scattered showers or thunderstorms are possible. Coverage will not be widespread, and the front will not be close enough to the source area to affect Sunday's transport event. Trajectories from southern GA and northern FL will be moving to the east each day. Low Risk to tobacco crops in the Southeast from Friday through Sunday.

***** Elsewhere, the other known sources are Low Threats from Friday through Sunday.

TK

Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

None

 

[Back to May 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts]

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.