5 May 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts

Forecast Notes - 5 May:

It will be necessary for your Forecaster to be out of the office quite a bit during the next two weeks. We will continue to have regular forecasts (barring unforeseen circumstances), although they may not adhere to our normal schedule of Monday - Wednesday - Friday. We will make every effort to forecast for as many days as possible. The format we have been using for much of this spring will be retained for the foreseeable future (detailed forecasts for the U.S. source and other significant events, trajectory-only otherwise). TK


FORECAST SUMMARY:
Monday, May 5:

***** Unsettled weather is in store for the southeast U.S. for the next several days. ***** Thankfully, most of the clouds and rain will be affecting the northern sections of the region, from northern GA across the Carolinas. Mostly unfavorable weather is expected in northern FL and southern GA, and disease activity remains light. Monday's trajectory moves northeast. Tuesday's trajectory moves to the ENE, and Wednesday's trajectory moves east. The risk assessments are as follows..... on Monday... Low Risk near the source. Weakly Moderate Risk for the coastal plains of SC and NC. Low Risk beyond. On Tuesday..... Weakly Moderate Risk for northern FL and southern GA on Tuesday. Moderate Risk for the SC coastal plains and far southeast NC. On Wednesday.... Low Risk near the source. Weakly Moderate Risk for southeast GA and southern SC.

***** Elsewhere, the other known sources are Low Threats from Monday through Wednesday.

TK

Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

None

 

[Back to May 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts]

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.