21 May 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts

Forecast Notes - 5 May:

It will be necessary for your Forecaster to be out of the office quite a bit during the next few weeks. We will continue to have regular forecasts (barring unforeseen circumstances), although they may not adhere to our normal schedule of Monday - Wednesday - Friday. We will make every effort to forecast for as many days as possible. The format we have been using for much of this spring will be retained for the foreseeable future (detailed forecasts for the U.S. source and other significant events, trajectory-only otherwise). TK


FORECAST SUMMARY:
Wednesday, May 21:

***** A slow-moving cold front will bring unsettled weather into the Southeast during next several days ** Rainfall associated with this system will be enhanced by a low pressure area that will develop today and move northeastward along the cold front as it moves through the region. Cloudy in the western sections of the region already this morning. Partly cloudy skies in the eastern areas with cloudiness increasing during the day. Rain is moving into the northern and western areas this morning. Rain will affect the northwestern half of the Southeast today and tonight and spread over the rest of the region on Thursday. Moderate Risk on Wednesday for northern FL, southern GA, northeast GA, and northwest SC. HIGH RISK on Thursday for northern FL and southern GA, with Low Risk elsewhere. Rainy weather will continue in the Carolinas and parts of FL on Friday, with some drier conditions moving into the western sections of the Southeast.

***** Elsewhere, the other known sources are Low Threats Wednesday and Thursday.

TK

Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: Northern FL, southern GA


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

None

 

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Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.