FORECAST SUMMARY: Wednesday, March 5: *** Welcome to the 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts !!! *** We begin with five sources: one in western Cuba, one in the Dominican Republic, one on each coast of Mexico, and one to represent any possible blue mold on the wild tobacco of southern Texas.
Wednesday's and Thursday's trajectories from western Cuba will be moving over northern FL and southern GA. These transport events are similar, with unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and favorable conditions for deposition and infection. Moderate Risk for tobacco crops in northern FL and southern GA Wednesday and Thursday.
Elsewhere..... other source areas in Mexico, southern TX, and the Dominican Republic are Low Threats to other regions over the next two days.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.