Due to a variety of issues, the transition to our new location has been rather difficult. While we get back on our feet, the forecasts for the next week or two will be abbreviated as follows: Detailed forecasts will be provided for the northern FL / southern GA source area. We will provide trajectories and summary information for the other sites. Should transport events from the sites in the Carribean, Mexico, or southern Texas prove threatening, we will include detailed forecasts for those events as well. We thank you for your patience while we adjust to our new surroundings!
FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, March 28:
***** There is a threat to the mid-Atlantic states this weekend ***** A cold front will be moving through the eastern United States Saturday and Sunday. Winds will be from the south and southwest ahead of the front. Airborne spores from northern FL and southern GA will be moving to the north and northeast. We expect mixed conditions for survivable transport and deposition for Friday's and Saturday's transport events. For Friday's event..... Low Risk near the source. Moderate Risk for central and eastern NC, southeast VA, and southern MD. Low Risk otherwise. For Saturday's event.... Moderate Risk for northern FL, southern GA, eastern SC, eastern NC, southeast VA, and southern MD. Low Risk otherwise. On Sunday.... mixed conditions are expected near the source area, but the trajectory moves quickly out to sea and should not threaten other regions. Moderate Risk for northern FL and southern GA on Sunday; Low Risk elsewhere.
***** For the other source areas .... trajectories from the other sources do not threaten other regions from Friday through Sunday.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.