28 July 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts

 

***** Forecast Notes - 23 July *****
It has recently been necessary for your forecaster to take some unexpected time on leave due to family illness. Monday's forecast are incorporated into today's (Wednesday 23 July) update. We will try to continue a more regular schedule of forecasts from this point on. However, some adjustments may be necessary. TK
 

FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, July 28:

***** The Weather..... Eastern U.S. / southern Canada.... A slow-moving frontal system will affect the eastern U.S. for the next several days. The cold front that moved through the northern areas on Sunday now stretches from the mid-Atlantic westward through the Ohio Valley. The front will sink slowly to the south today and Tuesday. Mostly cloudy skies with numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected near the front. Partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms for the Southeast. Sunny to partly cloudy and dry from the Great Lakes to the Northeast.

***** In the Southeast.... mixed conditions for survivable transport and deposition are expected each day. On Monday, Moderate Risk for southern GA, northern FL, and the coastal plains of SC. Moderate Risk on Tuesday for these same areas, plus eastern NC. Low Risk otherwise.

***** The most favorable conditions for disease development will be found in the central regions. On Monday.... HIGH Risk for central and eastern KY. Strongly Moderate Risk for west-central KY, north-central TN, and the mountains of TN and VA. Moderate Risk for the NC mountains. On Tuesday..... Strongly Moderate to HIGH Risk for all of the southern Appalachian Mountains. Moderate Risk for central TN and the bordering counties of southern KY near the northern TN source. Low Risk otherwise Monday and Tuesday.

***** Across the northern areas.... unfavorable weather is expected for the next two days, with Low Risk to growing areas from the Great Lakes through the Northeast.

TK

Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: all U.S. growing regions east of the Mississippi River


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Corpus Christi, Texas

 

[Back to July 2003 Blue Mold Forecasts]

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.