FORECAST SUMMARY: Wednesday, July 16:
***** Disease Update - 16 July ***** Blue mold has been reported in Connecticut. James LaMondia has informed us of the discovery of blue mold in Hartford County, CT, near the town of Suffield. A few areas of disease are present in a field of shade tobacco. This is our first report from southern New England this year. We are adding this source to the forecasts.
***** The Weather....Two cold fronts to affect the eastern U.S. Wednesday and Thursday. The first front, which moved into the Ohio Valley yesterday, will move through the Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions today and tonight. It will turn stationary over the lower mid-Atlantic and TN valley on Thursday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms today for the New England states, the Southeast, and parts of the southern mountains and mid-Atlantic areas. The second cold front will move into the Great Lakes and Northeast on Thursday. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms again in the Southeast. Other areas will remain mostly dry under partly cloudy skies. Rain along the second front will affect the northern Ohio Valley and Northeast Thursday night.
***** On Wednesday... trajectories from the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachian Mountains are moving southeast. Trajectories from the other known areas are moving northeast or ENE under mixed conditions. The threat of disease development will be to crops near the source areas. On Thursday... trajectories move similarly to Wednesday, with the threat of transport and deposition largely confined to the Southeast and southern Appalachian Mountains. Mixed conditions expected in these regions.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or HIGH Risk during the past week: northern FL, southern GA, central and eastern SC, central NC, the southern Appalachian Mountains, north-central TN, all but far western KY
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Corpus Christi, Texas
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.