Due to a variety of issues, the transition to our new location has been rather difficult. While we get back on our feet, the forecasts for the next several weeks will be abbreviated as follows: Detailed forecasts will be provided for the northern FL / southern GA source area. We will provide trajectories and summary information for the other sites. Should transport events from the sites in the Carribean, Mexico, or southern Texas prove threatening, we will include detailed forecasts for those events as well. We thank you for your patience while we adjust to our new surroundings!
FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, April 25:
***** A strong storm system will move through the Southeast Friday and Saturday ***** The disease sources in the northern FL and southern GA region are weak, but other factors are favorable for long-range transport and deposition. Strongly Moderate Risk on Friday for northern FL, southern GA, and southern SC. Low Risk otherwise. Saturday's weather will be favorable for part of the day near the source. However, the trajectory moves quickly off the coast, which lessens the threat to other regions. Moderate Risk to tobacco crops near the source on Saturday. Unfavorable weather will arrive in the Southeast on Sunday. Low Risk to tobacco crops in the Southeast on Sunday.
***** Elsewhere, the other known sources are Low Threats Friday through Sunday.
TK
Areas at Strongly Moderate or
HIGH Risk during the past week: Northern FL, southern GA, southern SC
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.