Blue Mold Forecasts for
2003
The scheduling and production of blue mold
forecasts depend upon the spatial spread of source sites as the
epidemic progresses. They will be issued three times per week and
more frequently during peak epidemic spread. Each forecast
includes descriptions of factors pertinent to the disease
situation, a general outlook assessing the risk of disease
development, and a map showing the flow away from an active area
or region (i.e., a cluster of closely-grouped counties) with a
single, centrally-located trajectory.
The maps show the motion of a floating particle
that is released into the atmosphere on the date and time given in
the second line of the map headings. The release time is in
Universal Time on a 24-hour clock, and will be set to correspond
to about 10AM local time. A black
star (*) denotes the starting point
for the trajectory (exact latitude and longitude are written along
the left-hand side of the map). Information along the right-hand
side of the map denotes the meteorological data used in the
HY-SPLIT model and can be ignored for most purposes.
Disease Maps and blue mold county lists
for 2003
Executive
Summaryfor the 2003 Blue Mold Season
International
Disease Reports for 2003
Back
to the Blue Mold Forecast Homepage
Page last updated by Thomas
Keever on December 17, 2003.