FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, May 31:
*** Disease Update - May 31 *** We have the first report of blue mold from Pennsylvania. Bob Anderson informs us that three small outbreaks of blue mold have been discovered in plant beds located in Lancaster and Chester counties, in southeast Pennsylvania. Only a few plants are showing symptoms at each location, and sporulation is light at this time. We are adding this area to the forecasts. The town of Gap, PA will be used as the starting point for the forecast trajectories.
*** Active weather in the Northeast today, with scattered showers in the Southeast. Mixed conditions will continue for southern GA and northern FL Saturday and Sunday..... while dry, unfavorable weather is expected near the sources in PA, VA, and NC. *** A cold front is moving through the Northeast today and tonight. The PA source area is weak, but conditions are favorable for survivable transport and deposition. Moderate Risk for southeast PA and southern New England for Friday's transport event. Mixed conditions are present near the sources in the lower mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Moderate Risk Friday for southern MD, south-central VA, north-central and northeast NC, southern GA, and northern FL. Saturday and Sunday.... trajectories from the known sources do not threaten other areas. There is Low Risk to tobacco crops near the sources in PA, southern VA, and northern NC. Moderate Risk over the weekend for southern GA and northern FL.
TK
Serious Threats: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.