FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, May 13:
*** TELETIP is now available *** Dial 1-800-662-7301, as before. Follow the simple voice prompts. Press '2' for the burley forecast, '3' for the flue-cured forecast.
*** Disease Update - 8 May *** Blue mold has been discovered in Virginia. Blue mold was confirmed on May 6 in south-central Virginia, Brunswick County and Dinwiddie County. Outbreaks in each of 5 greenhouses were active. Necrotic lesions were observed in one greenhouse in Dinwiddie County. This and other symptoms suggest that disease has been present for some time. Dewitt, VA will be used as the starting site for forecast trajectories.
*** A strong cold front is moving through the southeast U.S. today *** Showers and thunderstorms, some severe, will accompany the front. Mixed conditions for disease development are expected ahead of the front. Trajectories from the known sources move northeast. On Monday.... there is Moderate Risk for northeast NC, eastern VA, southern MD, and southern New England. Commercial tobacco crops in northern FL, southern GA, southern and eastern SC, and southeast NC are also at Moderate Risk. Low Risk for other locations on Monday. On Tuesday.... sunny, dry weather will follow the cold front, which on Tuesday will lie across the FL peninsula. Unfavorable conditions will exist around the source regions and along the forecast trajetories. Low Risk to the U.S. tobacco production areas on Tuesday. In the extended period.... Unfavorable weather will continue in the Southeast through Thursday.
TK
Serious Threats: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.