FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, May 10:
*** TELETIP is now available *** Dial 1-800-662-7301, as before. Follow the simple voice prompts. Press '2' for the burley forecast, '3' for the flue-cured forecast.
*** Disease Update - 8 May *** Blue mold has been discovered in Virginia. Blue mold was confirmed on May 6 in south-central Virginia, Brunswick County and Dinwiddie County. Outbreaks in each of 5 greenhouses were active. Necrotic lesions were observed in one greenhouse in Dinwiddie County. This and other symptoms suggest that disease has been present for some time. Dewitt, VA will be used as the starting site for forecast trajectories.
*** The source areas in southern VA and northeast NC will threaten growing regions to the north this weekend *** A cold front is moving into the Southeast today. The front will turn stationary, linger, then move north Saturday night. Meanwhile, the next weather system in the central U.S. will be gearing up to affect the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states on Sunday. Scattered showers are expected near the front in the Southeast Friday and Saturday. Rain is likely for the Northeast and parts of the mid-Atlantic on Sunday. On Friday.....skies are mostly sunny near the sources, with no rain expected. The sources are Low Threats. On Saturday.... trajectories will be curving to the north and northeast. Conditions will be favorable for survivable transport and deposition. Strongly Moderate Risk for northern NC and southern and central VA. Moderate Risk for MD, PA, and southern New England. Low Risk otherwise. On Sunday.... trajectories move to the northeast. Conditions will be mixed near the sources, more favorable to the north. Low Risk near the NC source. Moderate Risk for southern VA, MD, and southern New England. In southern GA and northern FL.... hot, dry weather is expected to continue through the weekend. These sources are Low Threats Friday through Sunday.
TK
Serious Threats: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.