FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, June 7:
*** Disease Update - 7 June *** We have the first report of blue mold from Tennessee. Blue mold was confirmed yesterday in float beds near Jonesborough, TN. Disease has been present for 1 to 2 weeks. Fresh lesions are present and sporulation is strong and heavy. Recent weather had been unfavorable but turned favorable earlier this week. Our thanks to Darrell Hensley for this report. We are adding this source to the forecasts. Trajectories from the southern GA region will serve to represent transport from the southern GA and northern FL sources.
*** Active weather will persist in parts of GA and FL. Other regions will have unfavorable conditions for disease development through Sunday *** The cold front now in the Southeast will sag to the GA/FL border, where it will dissipate during Saturday. However, the boundary and its remnants will serve as a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. Storms should decrease in number through the forecast period. The threat from the GA and FL sources should remain limited to the source regions. For southern GA and northern FL..... HIGH RISK near the sources on Friday, Strongly Moderate Risk on Saturday, and Moderate Risk on Sunday. Low Risk to crops beyond the source areas. Elsewhere..... high pressure moving in behind the cold front will bring dry weather to the rest of the eastern U.S. through the weekend. All other source areas are Low Threats, with Low Risk to commercial tobacco crops.
TK
Serious Threats: Southern GA / northern FL
HIGH RISK areas: Southern GA / northern FL
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.