FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, June 3:
*** Disease Update - May 31 *** We have the first report of blue mold from Pennsylvania. Bob Anderson informs us that three small outbreaks of blue mold have been discovered in plant beds located in Lancaster and Chester counties, in southeast Pennsylvania. Only a few plants are showing symptoms at each location, and sporulation is light at this time. We are adding this area to the forecasts. The town of Gap, PA will be used as the starting point for the forecast trajectories.
*** Transport events on Monday are rather benign. However, many growing areas will be threatened on Tuesday. *** With unfavorable sky conditions near the known source areas today, solar exposure should kill any airborne spores. Low Risk to tobacco crops for Monday's transport events. On Tuesday...... conditions will be worsening. Partly cloudy skies are forecast near most of the sources. Rain is possible along all of the forecast pathways. Though the source areas in NC and VA will be dry, trajectories from these areas will affect growing regions to the north. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for PA on Tuesday. There is Moderate Risk for MD and southern New England. Trajectory events from southern GA and northern FL will impact growing regions in the TN and OH river valleys. There is Moderate Risk for eastern TN, southeast KY, and extreme southwest VA. Moderate Risk also for the southern GA and northern FL source areas. Low Risk elsewhere. In the extended..... unsettled weather will persist in the Northeast Wednesday and Thursday, while the threat of afternoon showers and thunderstorms increases in the Southeast.
TK
Serious Threats: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.