14 June 2002 Blue Mold Forecasts

 

FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, June 14:

*** A frontal system will move through the eastern U.S. on Friday. Unsettled weather will persist in the Northeast and upper mid-Atlantic, while the lower mid-Atlantic and Southeast turn dry Saturday and Sunday *** In the lower mid-Atlantic and Appalachian mountains.......significant transport events will occur on Friday with the passage of the main cold front. There is HIGH RISK for northeast TN and western NC. Moderate Risk for southwest NC. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for north-central and northeast NC and southside Virginia. Low Risk for tobacco crops in these areas Saturday and Sunday. To the north.... mostly favorable conditions will exist in the upper mid-Atlantic and Northeast Friday through Sunday. Due to the weakness of the source in southeast PA, no risk assessment is appropriate. Disease development is possible near the source, and the threat to other regions is Low. To the south...... tobacco crops in southern GA and northern FL are at Moderate Risk on Friday as the front approaches. Mixed conditions are expected in northern FL on Saturday as southern GA dries out. Low Risk to southern GA; Moderate Risk for northern FL. Low Risk to both areas on Sunday.

TK

Serious Threats: Jonesborough, TN

HIGH RISK areas: northeast TN, western NC


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico

[Back to June 2002 Blue Mold Forecasts]

Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.