FORECAST SUMMARY: Wednesday, June 12:
*** Disease Update - 7 June *** We have the first report of blue mold from Tennessee. Blue mold was confirmed yesterday in float beds near Jonesborough, TN. Disease has been present for 1 to 2 weeks. Fresh lesions are present and sporulation is strong and heavy. Recent weather had been unfavorable but turned favorable earlier this week. Our thanks to Darrell Hensley for this report. We are adding this source to the forecasts. Trajectories from the southern GA region will serve to represent transport from the southern GA and northern FL sources.
*** Unsettled weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday in the mid-Atlantic region westward into the Ohio Valley. Showers and thunderstorms will persist along the Florida peninsula. Unfavorable conditions will dominate in the Southeast. *** A cold front will move southward from the Great Lakes and Northeast during the next two days, to a position across the mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will progress southward with the front. There will be one significant transport and deposition event, from northeast TN on Thursday. Favorable conditions are expected near the source in southeast PA, but the source there is very weak. Mixed conditions are expected in northern FL. On Wednesday.... there is Moderate Risk for southeast PA and northern FL. Low Risk for all other areas. On Thursday..... there is Strongly Moderate Risk for northeast TN, northwest NC, and southwest VA. Moderate Risk again for southeast PA and northern FL. Low Risk for crops in all other areas.
TK
Serious Threats: None
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.