FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, April 29:
*** The weather in the Southeast will become increasingly active as the week progresses *** A cold front over the Southeast will stall over southern GA and northern FL today and Tuesday. The front will then move rapidly northward as a warm front Tuesday night. Scattered showers are possible near the front.... in southern GA today, southern GA and northern FL on Tuesday, then northward through the Carolinas Tuesday night. In eastern NC, transport conditions are unfavorable for spore survival Monday and Tuesday. There is Low Threat from the NC source each day. To the south... mixed conditions for survivable transport and deposition are expected for southern GA and northern FL. On Monday, trajectories do not threaten other regions. There is Moderate Risk for southern GA, Low Risk for northern FL. On Tuesday.... trajectories move slowly through evening, then speed to the northeast Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will threaten crops in much of the Carolinas. Moderate Risk on Tuesday for northern FL, southern GA, all of SC, and central and eastern NC. Low Risk elsewhere.
Extended: Unsettled weather is expected Tuesday night through Friday morning for northern sections of the Southeast (NC, northern sections of SC/GA). A ridge of high pressure in the Gulf will keep the rest of the region mostly dry.
TK
Serious Threats: NONE
HIGH RISK areas: None
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Santiago, Dominican Republic
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.