1 April 2002 Blue Mold Forecasts

 

FORECAST SUMMARY: Monday, April 1:

*** Disease Update - 1 April: This information comes to us from Paul Bertrand, our Georgia State Coordinator. Blue mold was found in a plant house in Berrien County on March 27. This is a small source that has been active for about 2 weeks. The house owner plans to salvage most plants by transplanting this week. The former source in nearby Tift County was destroyed. The Forecast Center will continue to use the Eldorado, GA starting point for trajectories from this area.

*** Sunday's transport event from southern Georgia went much as expected *** The trajectory moved through southern and eastern GA... across central SC... and then eastward over southeast NC before moving out to sea. Conditions were mixed to favorable for survivable transport. There were plenty of showers along the pathway Sunday and Sunday night. Moderate to Strongly Moderate Risk for the growing areas of southern and eastern GA, central and northeastern SC, and southeastern NC.

*** Monday and Tuesday *** High pressure over the eastern U.S. will provide unsuitable conditions for survivable transport and deposition of airborne spores from southern Georgia. Trajectories from the other known source areas do not threaten other production regions. All known sources are Low Threats Monday and Tuesday, with Low Risk to commercial tobacco crops in the U.S.

TK

Forecast Note: The TELETIP system is undergoing some major restructuring and is not yet available for use. However, our other toll-free number (1-888-835-2583) is still in operation. We will notify everyone when the TELETIP system is ready for use. Access to the TELETIP forecasts should be quick and simple.

   

Serious Threats: None

HIGH RISK areas: None


 

Current Sources:

 

Previous Sources:

None

 

[Back to April 2002 Blue Mold Forecasts]

 Local Weather in North Carolina is available from the WRAL-TV5 Weather Center, which also has links to other weather sites.


***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****

This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.