Blue Mold Forecasts for 2002

• Executive Summary
• Table of First Reports from each State/County

The scheduling and production of blue mold forecasts depend upon the spatial spread of source sites as the epidemic progresses. They will be issued three times per week and more frequently during peak epidemic spread. Each forecast includes descriptions of factors pertinent to the disease situation, a general outlook assessing the risk of disease development, and a map showing the flow away from an active area or region (i.e., a cluster of closely-grouped counties) with a single, centrally-located trajectory.

The maps show the motion of a floating particle that is released into the atmosphere on the date and time given in the second line of the map headings. The release time is in Universal Time on a 24-hour clock, and will be set to correspond to about 10AM local time. A black star (*) denotes the starting point for the trajectory (exact latitude and longitude are written along the left-hand side of the map). Information along the right-hand side of the map denotes the meteorological data used in the HY-SPLIT model and can be ignored for most purposes.

March 2002	April 2002
May 2002	June 2002
July 2002	August 2002

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Page last updated by Thomas Keever on July 1, 2002.