FORECAST DISCUSSION: Wednesday, March 7: *** Welcome to the 2001 Blue Mold Forecasts !!! *** We begin with four sources: one in western Cuba, one on each coast of Mexico, and one to represent any possible blue mold on the wild tobacco of southern Texas. All of these sources are Low Threats Wednesday and Thursday; they do not threaten U.S. production areas.
Growers in northern FL and southern GA should take note: Trajectories on Friday and Saturday (March 2 and 3) moved north and crossed over your region. In both instances, survivable transport of spores was unlikely and there was Low Risk to growers. However, growers should be alert for any signs of disease in the off chance that any live spores were deposited during one of these events. Please review the forecast from Pinar del Rio, Cuba, for more details. TK
HIGH RISK areas: None
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 7 March 2001.