FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, March 12: *** Moderate Risk to U.S. today *** Monday's trajectory from western Cuba moves north, crossing the northern Florida region Tuesday morning. Conditions are highly unfavorable for survivable transport. Showers are likely as the trajectory passes over northern Florida. A similar situation occurred with Sunday's transport event. Given that this situation has occurred two days in a row...... growers in northern Florida and southern Georgia are at Moderate Risk of disease development today. Tuesday's trajectory from western Cuba does not approach the U.S. production areas, so growers will be at Low Risk. Elsewhere, trajectories from southern TX and the sources in Mexico do not threaten any U.S. production areas, with Low Risk to growers.
TK
HIGH RISK areas: None
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
None
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.