FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, July 6:
*** Forecast are abbreviated today. A weather synopsis and disease development summary follows. Trajectories from the various source areas are given below.
*** This weekend.... *** High pressure has pushed one cold front into the Southeast U.S. Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition for nearly all areas on Friday. Moderate Risk for southeast NC and northeast SC near the front; Low Risk for all other areas. On Saturday... mixed conditions are expected in the Ohio Valley, while unfavorable conditions continued for the mountains and the east coast states. Trajectories will be moving ENE from the source regions. Moderate Risk for the growing areas of IN, OH, western WV, and all but southwest KY. Low Risk elsewhere. On Sunday... a cold front will be moving through the eastern U.S. Mixed to favorable conditions are expected for all areas. Trajectories from NC and VA will be moving east; forecast pathways from the other source regions will be moving south or southeast. Moderate Risk for commercial tobacco crops in the southern Appalachian Mountains, the mid-Atlantic states from PA through the Carolinas, and the Ohio Valley, including the growing areas of TN. Low Risk for the growing areas of southern New England and southern Ontario.
*** We strongly encourage growers to monitor their plants for signs of disease. Diligent scouting and prompt reporting of blue mold are essential if one wishes to derive maximum benefit from the services we provide. ***
TK
HIGH RISK areas: None
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Uvalde, Texas
D'Hanis, Texas
Corpus Christi, Texas
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.