FORECAST SUMMARY: Wednesday, July 18:
*** Forecast are abbreviated today. A weather synopsis / disease development summary follows. Trajectories from the various source areas are given below.
*** Disease-favorable weather is expected for most of the growing regions Wednesday and Thursday *** A cold front now lies just south of the Great Lakes, extending eastward through the upper mid-Atlantic region. This front will move south during the next two days. Cloudy skies will dominate for most areas along with scattered showers and thunderstorms. On Wednesday.... there is High Risk for the Ohio Valley growing region and the growing areas of PA and MD. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for tobacco crops in the southern Appalachian Mountains and the central and eastern sections of VA and NC. Low Risk elsewhere. On Thursday.... there is Strongly Moderate Risk for all growing areas in the Ohio Valley and the southern Appalchian Mountains. Growing areas in central and eastern sections of VA, NC, and SC will be at Moderate Risk. The risk drops to Low for MD and PA as the front should be well to the south. The growing areas of southern New England and southern Canada will continue to be at Low Risk.
*** We strongly encourage growers to monitor their plants for signs of disease. Diligent scouting and prompt reporting of blue mold are essential if one wishes to derive maximum benefit from the services we provide. ***
TK
HIGH RISK areas: MD, PA, southern OH, western WV, southern IN, all of KY and TN
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
Uvalde, Texas
D'Hanis, Texas
Corpus Christi, Texas
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.