FORECAST SUMMARY: Friday, April 6:
*** Disease Update - 4 April *** Tom Kucharek in FL informs us that blue mold is now present in two fields in northern FL, one in Alachua County, the other in Columbia County. Plants from the previously infected plant beds were used in those fields. Blue mold continues to spread locally in that area.
*** Possible threat to growers in MO on Friday *** Trajectories from Texas move north and northeast today. Disease activity levels in Texas are uncertain..... but conditions are mostly favorable for survivable transport and effective deposition in Missouri for Friday's transport event. Any airborne spores should be fully washed out by the time the trajectories reach Wisconsin. Moderate Risk to growers in MO on Friday. Low Risk near the TX sources, and to growers in Wisconsin. Texas transport scenarios on Saturday and Sunday are much less threatening, with Low Risk to growers in other regions. Please refer to the Uvalde forecast for details.
In the Southeast... warm, dry weather is expected each day this weekend, with Low Risk to growers.
TK
HIGH RISK areas: None
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.