FORECAST SUMMARY: Wednesday, April 11:
*** Disease Update - 11 April *** The Forecast Center staff visited the site of the Rolesville, NC outbreak this afternoon. Blue mold has spread through the infected greenhouse. Diseased plants were also discovered in an adjacent greenhouse. However, the disease is advancing slowly due to an aggressive spray program by the grower. This site remains a weak source.
*** The Rolesville source poses a Threat to the mid-Atlantic states on Wednesday *** Conditions are favorable for survivable transport. Deposition is possible today but is more likely during the night. Moderate Risk for north-central NC and south-central VA. Strongly Moderate Risk for northern VA, central MD, and southeast PA. Low Risk beyond. This source is a Low Threat on Thursday. The sources in FL, Cuba, and southern TX are Low Threats both Wednesday and Thursday, with Low Risk to growers.
TK
HIGH RISK areas: None
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Papantla, Veracruz, Mexico
Tepic, Nayarit, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.