FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, June 5: *** Disease Update *** From Tom Melton in NC..... new cases of blue mold have been reported from Beaufort County, Johnston County, eastern Wake County, Onslow County, and Chowan County. The Johnston County outbreak occurred in Research Station plant beds and these have been destroyed. The Chowan County case has yet to be confirmed. Active sporulation was observed in all cases. *** 5 June Update: In a follow-up to his June 1st report, Dr. Melton reports that field infections in NC are increasing. Several fields in eastern Wake and northwest Johnston Counties are actively sporulating. Active field infections are also occurring in Lenoir County, Beaufort County, and Bertie County.
*** Frontal systems moving through the mid-Atlantic and Southeast are creating conditions favorable for disease development on Monday and Tuesday. *** The weather is favorable region-wide today. Some favorability will linger in the Southeast and coastal sections of the Carolinas on Tuesday. On Monday... there is HIGH RISK for central and eastern NC and south-central and southeast VA. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for southern GA and coastal counties of SC, and Moderate Risk for northern FL. On Tuesday.... growers in southern GA and northern FL will be at HIGH RISK of disease development. There is Moderate Risk for growers in eastern NC. Trajectories from TX do not threaten other areas. In the extended.... dry, sunny weather is expected for the rest of the week.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: All
HIGH RISK areas: Central and eastern NC, south-central and southeast VA, southern GA, and northern FL
Blue Mold Active in the Plant Bed and Greenhouse (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
Web page last updated by Thomas Keever on 5 June 2000.