FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, July 24: *** Conditions are very favorable for disease development in the eastern U.S. early this week. *** A stationary front will remain across the Southeast and southern mid-Atlantic states Monday and Tuesday. Waves of low pressure will ride to the northeast along the front. Rain, showers, and thunderstorms are occurring today in the southern Appalachian Mountains and the mid-Atlantic states. This activity will spread into the Northeast by Tuesday. The eastern Great Lakes and most of the Ohio and TN Valley region will remain dry. There is HIGH RISK Monday and Tuesday for all growers in the southern Appalachian Mountains and the mid-Atlantic states (i.e., from NC to PA). Growers in southern New England are at Low Risk today, Moderate Risk Tuesday. Growers in southeast OH, western WV, far eastern KY, and eastern TN are at Moderate Risk both days. However, other growers in the Ohio and TN River Valleys will be at Low Risk Monday and Tuesday. Southern Ontario will be at Low Risk both days.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: southern Appalachian Mountains, NC/VA piedmont, eastern NC, MD, PA
HIGH RISK areas: southern Appalachian Mountains, NC, VA, MD, PA
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
