FORECAST DISCUSSION: Friday, July 21: *** Epidemic Update 19 July: First report of blue mold from Connecticut *** Jim LaMondia in CT reports that blue mold has been discovered in shade tobacco in the northern part of Tolland County, CT, near the Massachusetts border. There are a small number of old and new lesions, some of which are currently sporulating.
*** The weather will be favorable for disease development in southern New England and the lower mid-Atlantic region each day this weekend. *** One front is stationary in the Southeast; another front is moving toward the eastern Seaboard Friday and Saturday. The two will combine to produce favorable conditions for many areas this weekend. In southern New England... growers are at Moderate Risk Friday and Sunday, HIGH RISK on Saturday. In the southern mid-Atlantic region, growers in central and eastern NC are at HIGH RISK today, Strongly Moderate Risk Saturday and Sunday. South-central VA is at Strongly Moderate Risk each day. In addition, northeast SC will be at Strongly Moderate Risk on Sunday. Growers in southern Ontario and southeast PA are at Moderate Risk Friday and Saturday, Low Risk Sunday. The southern Appalachian Mountains are at Low Risk today, Moderate Risk Saturday and Sunday. Ohio Valley growers will be at Low Risk this weekend, but some localized disease development is possible due to moisture provided by nighttime showers.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: southern New England, lower mid-Atlantic
HIGH RISK areas: southern New England, central and eastern NC
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
