FORECAST DISCUSSION: Friday, July 14: *** Forecasts are unavailable today due to illness at the Forecast Center *** A brief synopsis of this weekend's weather follows. Favorable conditions for disease development will be found in many of the growing areas. While long-range transport is possible in some instances..... growers are at decidedly greater danger of disease development from blue mold activity currently occurring in their region. Please accept our apologies for any inconvenience. Your Forecaster hopes to be able to return to his duties on Monday.
*** Wind patterns at the steering levels aloft are more typical of spring/fall than of mid-summer. At the surface.... an amorphous blob of low pressure (far too complicated to describe here) will swing from the Great Lakes southeastward into the mid-Atlantic and Northeast this weekend, dragging a cold front behind it. Rain and/or showers and thunderstorms all weekend for southern Ontario, much of the mid-Atlantic region, and the Northeast. Chance of showers each day for the southern Appalachian Mountains and nearby foothills. After a chance of thunderstorms today, mostly dry for the Ohio and Tennessee Valley regions. Chance of afternoon showers/thunderstorms for the lower mid-Atlantic states today and Saturday, mostly dry for Sunday.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: na
HIGH RISK areas: na
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
