FORECAST DISCUSSION: Wednesday, July 12: *** Epidemic Update: A few new reports of blue mold, plus increased activity in KY *** Bill Nesmith in KY reports that disease activity is rapidly increasing in northern and eastern KY. He also informs us of confirmed outbreaks in Gallia County, Ohio, and Cabell County, West Virginia. Blue mold has also been reported in Buncombe County, NC, in the mountain growing region.
*** Unsettled weather continues in the Carolinas, mountains, and TN/OH Valleys. *** The front that now lies across the Carolinas and the TN Valley will sag to the south today and Thursday. Showery weather is found in the lower Mid-Atlantic region westward into the TN and OH Valleys. Mixed but generally favorable conditions for disease development will persist into Thursday. Sunny and mostly dry weather will continue for the eastern Great Lakes and the Northeast Wednesday and Thursday. On Wednesday.... there is HIGH RISK for the southern Appalachian Mountains. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for the Carolinas, most of central and eastern KY, and western WV. There is Moderate Risk for northern KY and southern OH. On Thursday.... these same areas in the Carolinas, southern Appalachian Mountains, and OH Valley will be at Moderate Risk. In southern Ontario, eastern PA, and New England, most growers are at Low Risk both days. However, southern Ontario growers will be at Moderate Risk on Thursday as conditions become somewhat favorable.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: southern Appalachian Mountains
HIGH RISK areas: southern Appalachian Mountains
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
