FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, July 10: *** Epidemic Update: Widespread low levels of disease activity in KY, plus another report from the NC mountains. *** Bill Nesmith in KY informs us that blue mold has become established in the eastern half of KY and parts of southern OH. Activity levels are typcially low with a few isolated areas of more serious activity. Blue mold has been found in Ashe County, NC, the first report from that county. This outbreak is extremely small.
*** Another front is moving south from the Great Lakes. *** Unsettled weather will affect the Northeast and upper Ohio Valley today, then shift south into the mid-Atlantic states and most of the Ohio Valley on Tuesday. There is Moderate Risk for southern Ontario, southern New England, and southeast PA today. Low Risk for these areas on Tuesday. Farther south..... there is Low Risk today in the Carolinas, southern Appalachian Mountains, and for KY growers south of Lexington. There is Moderate Risk for northern KY, southern OH, and western WV where some showers are falling. Conditions will become more favorable on Tuesday. There is HIGH RISK for central and eastern KY, southern OH, and western WV. Growers in the southern Appalachian Mountains will be at Strongly Moderate Risk, while central and eastern NC will be at Moderate Risk. Unsettled weather is expected to persist in the Ohio Valley and southern mid-Atlantic regions Wednesday and Thursday.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: Ohio Valley, southern Appalachian Mountains
HIGH RISK areas: Ohio Valley growers
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
