FORECAST DISCUSSION: Monday, August 28: This will likely be our last forecast for the 2000 growing season. We want to thank the State Coordinators, County Extension Agents, and everyone associated with the Forecast Center for their efforts this year ! Season summaries for 2000 will be available during the month of September.
*** Regional Weather - Lower mid-Atlantic/TN-OH Valleys northward through the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast: High pressure situated over the Northeast will drift eastward with a continuing northeast flow along the eastern Seaboard. A weak low pressure trough in NC will slowly move southeastward and stall just off the Southeast coast. Aided by an upper-level Low moving southward through the lower mid-Atlantic, the onshore flow and the surface trough will produce clouds in the east coast states and showers both days. Most rain will be near the coast and along the eastern slopes of the mountains (where the air is forced to rise). More showers today than Tuesday. Meanwhile, southern New England, the Ohio Valley, and other sections of the southern Appalachian Mountains will be partly cloudy and dry. Southern Ontario is clear and dry today; a chance of showers enters the forecast on Tuesday as a front approaches from the west. Cool for late August in most locales, highs in the 70's and 80's, lows in the 50's to low 70's.
*** Favorable weather in the mid-Atlantic Monday and Tuesday. *** HIGH RISK today for growers from southern PA through NC; Strongly Moderate Risk for this region on Tuesday. Growers along the eastern slopes of the southern Appalachian Mountains will be at Strongly Moderate Risk both days, while other sections of the mountains will be at Low Risk. Southern New England and the Ohio Valley will be at Low Risk Monday and Tuesday. Southern Ontario growers will be at Low Risk today, Moderate Risk Tuesday.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: Mid-Atlantic region (NC, VA, MD, PA)
HIGH RISK areas: Mid-Atlantic region
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
