FORECAST DISCUSSION: Wednesday, August 23:
*** Regional Weather - Lower mid-Atlantic/TN-OH Valleys northward through the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast: High pressure along the Eastern Seaboard is giving way to a frontal system moving eastward from the Great Lakes/Midwest. By Friday morning, the front will be off the Northeast coast, with its western end trailing across the lower mid-Atlantic region into the Ohio Valley. Showers and thunderstorms moved through the eastern Lakes late last night and are invading the Ohio Valley this morning. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to rise up ahead of the front as it moves south and east. Dry today in the lower mid-Atlantic until possible showers tonight, unsettled elsewhere. Dry on Thursday for southern Ontario and southern New England with shower and thunderstorms for other parts of our broad region of interest. Highs in the 70's and 80's, lows in the 60's.
*** The most favorable conditions for disease development will be found in the Ohio Valley and the southern Appalachian Mountains *** Growers in the Ohio Valley are at HIGH RISK today, Strongly Moderate Risk Thursday. Mountain growers face Strongly Moderate Risk both days. Across the northern tier.... southern Ontario and southern New England are at Strongly Moderate Risk today, Low Risk Thursday. There is Strongly Moderate Risk for Maryland and southern PA today, Moderate Risk Thursday. In the lower mid-Atlantic, there is Low Risk Wednesday, Moderate Risk Thursday.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: Ohio Valley, southern Appalachian Mountains
HIGH RISK areas: Ohio Valley
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
