FORECAST DISCUSSION: Friday, August 18:
*** Regional Weather - Lower mid-Atlantic/TN-OH Valleys northward through the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast: Cold front strung out from the mid-Atlantic through the Ohio Valley will move south and east today and tonight. The front will move off the coast of the Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions while stalling out over the Southeast. Clouds with showers and thunderstorms will plague the growing regions today; sunny, drier, and cooler weather will prevail Saturday and Sunday. Highs ranging from the 70's to upper 90's today, mostly 70's and 80's Saturday and Sunday. Lows in the 50's and 60's.
*** Strongly Moderate Risk for nearly all growers on Friday. Low Risk for all growers on Saturday and Sunday *** Some survivable transport and deposition may occur on Friday. However, in each case, any deposition would be in areas that already have widespread infections. With conditions a little less favorable in the eastern Great Lakes, southern Ontario is only at Moderate Risk on Friday.
*** The 2000 bluemold county disease map is now available. Follow the link below or from our Homepage ***
*** International disease reports are now online *** Links to these reports can be found on our homepage and on the page with all the forecasts for 2000.
TK
Seriously Threatening Sources: All but southern Ontario
HIGH RISK areas: None, but all areas except southern Ontario at Strongly Moderate Risk on Friday
Blue Mold in the Field (click on small image for larger image)
What should one look for?
*** New for 2000 *** Climate Outlooks and Epidemic Prognoses
County Map of New and Existing Outbreaks, 2000
(Red = New, 1 to 7 days; Blue = Active, > 7 days; Green = Old)
Current Sources:
Previous Sources:
Southern GA / northern FL
Pinar del Rio, Cuba
Papantla, Mexico
Tepic, Mexico
***** NOTE: These forecasts/outlooks only apply to disease development from airborne transport of spores!!! We do not have the capability to ascertain blue mold development by other means, such as transplanting of infected seedlings, nor will we attempt to do so. Please consult the Extension Service personnel in your area if you have concerns about these matters! *****
This service is provided by the North Carolina State University departments of Plant Pathology and Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences.
